Specialist-model research desk

Market data and deal flow

What recent financing or transaction activity matters?

Frontier Development research deskSection 11 · Page 5 of 11Last updated 26 October 2026
Announcement date Activity Disclosed amount/valuation Buyer interpretation — inference
14 October 2026 Modal Series D $750 million; $15.75 billion post-money valuation Infrastructure financing can expand capacity, but does not remove service or contract diligence
15 July 2026 Fireworks Series D $1.505 billion; $17.5 billion valuation Capital is flowing into customised-model/inference infrastructure; task fitness remains unproven
22 June 2026 Baseten Series F $1.5 billion; $13 billion valuation More financing for production inference; verify exact roadmap and service obligations
25 June 2025 — historical context Rubrik announced agreement to acquire Predibase Terms not disclosed in the announcement reviewed Do not assume the older independent-provider landscape remains current

Sources: Modal, Fireworks, Baseten and Rubrik’s agreement announcement. The first three are company announcements, not audited investment-market statistics. The Predibase row describes the agreement announcement only; closing status and final consideration were not established from that source in this pass.

Historical consolidation also matters: WIRED reported NVIDIA’s acquisition of Gretel in March 2025. Treat that as reported activity, and verify the current offering/contracting route rather than carry Gretel forward as an unchanged standalone supplier. No transaction price is asserted here.

These transactions are not customer project prices, service-market revenue or evidence of guaranteed continuity. Do not sum their valuations to produce a market size. Unconfirmed fundraising discussions are excluded from the deal table.

TRACE THE EVIDENCE

Sources cited on this page

  1. Modal →modal.com
  2. Fireworks →fireworks.ai
  3. Baseten →www.baseten.co
  4. Rubrik’s agreement announcement →ir.rubrik.com
  5. WIRED reported NVIDIA’s acquisition of Gretel in March 2025 →www.wired.com